Kruger collects first win at Avantha Masters

Golf Betting Lines

02/19/2012 - New Delhi, India (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jbe' Kruger closed with a three-under 69 on Sunday to win the Avantha Masters by two strokes.

Kruger, who won for the first time on the European Tour, ended the event at 14-under-par 274.

"I'm very relieved to win for the first time. If you want to win, you need to make putts on the final day and I did that today," Kruger stated.

Jorge Campillo matched the low round of the day with his five-under 67. The Spaniard was joined in second place at minus-12 by Marcel Siem (70).

Marcus Fraser and Jose Manuel Lara both shot two-under 70 in the final round and they shared fourth at 11-under-par 277 at DLF Golf and Country Club.

As he had done the previous three rounds, Kruger parred the first three holes. He grabbed a share of the lead with his third birdie in three days on the par- four fourth.

Kruger, 25, took the lead with a birdie on No. 6. He also birdied the eighth from 20 feet out to regain a one-stroke lead over Lara.

After a pair of pars around the turn, Kruger converted a birdie effort on the par-three 11th to move to 15-under. He was three clear of Lara, who dropped a shot on the 13th.

Kruger kept his three-stroke cushion with five straight pars from the 12th. After going 36 holes without a bogey, Kruger dropped a shot at 17. He parred the last to close out his two-shot win.

"It's a big relief now that I've won, but I think I needed all those second- place finishes to be able to appreciate it," said Kruger.

"There was no pressure, even when I made my only bogey of the day on the 17th. I felt that victory was inevitable when I got to the 14th hole. I knew that I had a good chance as I had a comfortable three-shot cushion then."

Campillo had a birdie on the third, then ran off three straight birdies from the sixth. He moved to 12-under with a birdie at 10, but gave that shot back when he bogeyed the 14th. Campillo birdied the 18th for the fourth time this week to end at 12-under.

"I started really well and the whole time was up there on the leaderboard. So it was great fun and very exciting," Campillo said. "I just tried to play my best. I played okay on the back nine, not great, but I didn't make many mistakes and I chipped in on the last for birdie so it was nice to finish strongly."

Siem had a birdie and a double-bogey through five holes. He jumped within two of the lead thanks to three birdies in a four-hole span from the sixth. Siem twice traded a bogey for a birdie on the back nine to finish two back.

Peter Whiteford, who had at least a piece of the lead after the first two rounds, was disqualified on Sunday. On Saturday, he was playing his approach to the 18th hole.

He wasn't sure if his ball moved as he played the shot. Neither his caddie, nor playing partner noticed. Several people who viewed the event on television contacted the tour and said his ball did move.

After officials reviewed the footage, it was determined his ball did move and Whiteford should have taken a one-stroke penalty and replaced the ball. He did neither, and in turn signed an incorrect scorecard, which was the reason for the disqualification.

NOTES: Kruger, who earned 300,000 euros for the victory, will improve nearly 50 spots in the world rankings with this win...The European Tour will be in the United States for its next two events. First up is the WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship, where world No. 1 Luke Donald will defend his title.

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Sportsbook Betting Lines

Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?

Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.

“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.

“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “

What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?

There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).

Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).

How the Opening Line Is Made

The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.

Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.

Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.

Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.

The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.

A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.

Why Sports Betting Lines Change

Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:

Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game

Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)

The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.

Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.

For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.

Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."

“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”

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